OBAMA TRAILS KERRY AT THIS SAME POINT IN '04

You can make of this fact what you want, but a cool and wonky website called electoral-vote.com lets you keep track of the math that matters this election season, while showing you each state's past performance, and how the Bush-Kerry race tracked as well. At this point, the E-V map gives Obama 275 electoral votes (270 needed to win); Jean-Francois had 303 at this point in 2004 and still lost to President Bush.

Of course, Kerry was a stiff, had a terrible convention, and certainly didn't pre-design his own presidential seal. There's still hope for Obama. The point here is there is also still hope for McCain.